Conference tournament season is finally here and Selection Sunday is only days away. The B1G tournament has been as good as advertised so far, and the weekend should have a lot of exciting basketball in store.
With Villanova's first round loss to Seton Hall in the Big East tournament, the possibility, however faint, of a Wisconsin one seed still remains. If the Badgers can win the B1G tournament, they would theoretically have a strong case for a top spot. Kansas could make a case as well with a Big 12 tournament title. However I think Villanova is a pretty safe bet to hang onto the fourth one seed.
If Wisconsin wins on Friday, that should be enough to solidify a two seed. With a loss to Minnesota, the Badgers could fall to the three line if the committee sees enough from another team to justify a move up at the Badgers expense.
Regardless of what happens in Indianapolis, Wisconsin has built one of the strongest résumés in the country and is battle tested and ready for the Big Dance.
Here's an update on my bubble teams:
*Tennessee would likely fall out of the field with a loss to South Carolina. The Vols need at least one SEC tournament win to feel safe on Sunday.
*Minnesota can be in with a win over Wisconsin, but really needs losses from other bubble teams as well.
*Cal is done for good after their loss to Colorado, who should be safe.
*Providence beat St. John's in what was essentially an elimination game, but the Friars are still in a fight for the last spot in the field.
*BYU, in spite of their loss to Gonzaga in the WCC Championship and 11 losses, is squarely on the bubble thanks to their surprisingly strong RPI.
*St. Joe's versus Dayton in the Atlantic-10 tournament is a must-win for both teams, but St. Joe's is in a slightly better position to handle a loss. The loser will be in the mix for a spot in the First Four (last four in).
*None of these teams can afford to have a team off of the bubble (Seton Hall or Illinois, for example) get hot and win their conference tournament, as that would force a projected lock or auto bid team to take an at-large spot.